100-Petaflop Supercomputers Predicted By 2017.

InformationWeek (02/08/11) Antone Gonsalves

University of Tennessee’s Jack Dongarra predicts that there will be 100-petaflop supercomputer systems by 2017, and exascale systems, which could be 1,000 times faster than petascale systems, by 2020. “This will happen if the funding is in place for those machines,” says Dongarra, who helped design the testing system used to generate the Top500 supercomputing list. IBM plans to build 10-petaflop computer systems at both the Argonne National Laboratory and the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign in the next year, as well as a 20-petaflop system at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in 2012. Cray also is ready to launch a 10-petaflop system. “Everything is moving along according to Moore’s law, so things are doubling every 18 months, roughly,” Dongarra says. IBM’s new systems will feature Blue Gene supercomputers, called Blue Gene/Q, and will run on specially designed systems-on-a-chip. The Argonne System will be used for industry, academic, and government work, while the Livermore system will be used for advanced uncertainty quantification simulations and weapons development.

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